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Lucie Safarova vs Ajla Tomljanovic: Preview and Prediction


Lucie Safarova – Ajla Tomljanovic
15.01.18 at 02:00
The Line: — Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Tennis

Lucie Safarova and Ajla Tomljanovic meet in the Australian Open. Women

Lucie Safarova is coming off a straight sets win over his last opponent that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Lucie Safarova won 79 percent of his first serve points and 65 percent of his second serve points. Lucie Safarova continues to be lights out on hard court this season and is coming off a match in which he won 75 percent of his total service points. Lucie Safarova has now won 18 of his last 20 sets played and still hasn’t lost a match since Cincinnati. As long as Lucie Safarova continues to serve as effective as he has the last several months, it’s going to take a special performance to knock him off this incredible run. Of course, the defense and return ability is always there for Lucie Safarova. Lucie Safarova looks to win his seventh title this season and is 18-24 in his career in final appearances on hard court. Lucie Safarova has won 16 straight matches on hard court.

Lucie Safarova vs. Ajla Tomljanovic Australian Open. Women, Odds, Prediction


Ajla Tomljanovic is coming off a three sets win over his last opponent that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Ajla Tomljanovic won 94 percent of his first serve points and 29 percent of his second serve points. Ajla Tomljanovic got his revenge for the quarterfinal loss in the US Open, and he won 74 percent of his total service points. Ajla Tomljanovic is now 31-3 this season on hard court and is participating in his seventh final appearance of the season. Like Lucie Safarova, Ajla Tomljanovic continues to play extremely clean tennis and pounces the second his opponent makes a mistake, which is usually the deciding factor in his victories. It takes one slip in his opponents game for a match to turn around and for him to be declared the winner. Ajla Tomljanovic hopes to win his sixth title of the season and is 63-24 in his career in final appearances on hard court. Ajla Tomljanovic has won 10 of his last 12 matches on hard court.

These two have played 37 times and Lucie Safarova has won 23 of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years Miami Masters, a match Ajla Tomljanovic won in straight sets. Ajla Tomljanovic has won the last four matches against Lucie Safarova with his last loss coming in the 2014 Australian Open.

With the way these guys are playing, you could make a strong argument for either side. Lucie Safarova had a much easier semifinal match and has won 16 straight on hard court, while Ajla Tomljanovic has the mental advantage in this head to head with four straight victories. I was originally leaning towards Lucie Safarova in this match due to less wear and tear, but Ajla Tomljanovic sees Lucie Safarova’s serve very well and hasn’t been broken once in their last two meetings. Ajla Tomljanovic has been Lucie Safarova’s kryptonite as of late.

Head to head numbers matter in a match like this, which is why I’m giving Ajla Tomljanovic the edge here.

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